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Research

  1. Revolutionary User Interfaces, Part 2

    · · Research

    In 2011 I wrote: My hypothesis is that The Primary Cause for the shift of profits from Incumbents to Entrants has been the disruptive impact of a new input method. It was a description of what I considered to be the…

  2. Asymcar 17: 27 Quadrillion BTUs

    · · Research

    Part I is a review of the “automotive stack” and note how there is no singular event that seems to affect disruptive change. From changing jobs to be done, modular design and manufacturing processes, powertrain…

  3. Cash exceptionalism

    · · Research

    Prior to implementing a dividend and share buyback plan, Apple had accumulated about $120 billion in cash and marketable securities. In the eight quarters since implementing the cash return plan, Apple has paid about…

  4. Beleaguered

    · · Research

    Amazon’s recent disputes with publishers (Hachette and Disney) shows a degree of market power that is closer to monopsony than to monopoly but this power is nevertheless real. It may not not be something that requires…

  5. On Capital Allocation

    · · Research

    One of the paradoxes of the “post-industrial” era is the aversion to application of capital to growth opportunities. Generally speaking, capital has become trapped in bank accounts as opposed to equipment which could be…

  6. Open always wins

    · · Research

    ABI Research estimates that AOSP (or forked Android) is the fastest growing mobile operating system with a total share of units shipped of about 20%. This is not surprising considering that most Chinese vendors don’t…

  7. How big is Apple’s Ecosystem?

    · · Research

    iTunes/Software/Services revenues grew at 12%. This was the second fastest segment growth last quarter, with the Mac growing at a slightly faster 13% rate. Apple mentioned in the quarterly earnings conference call the…

  8. A Dollar a Day

    · · Research

    There are 80 million Mac users. The last 12 months saw sales of 18 million Macs. As of the end of June there were 886,580,000 iOS devices sold. As of today the total is well over 900 million. One billion sold will happen…