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Research

  1. Apple Fourth Quarter Estimates

    · · Research

    As Philip Elmer-DeWitt is still interested in my estimates I provided the following: Revenues ($B) 57.8 EPS ($) 14 (908m shares) iPhone (units) 56.4 million iPod (units) 7.6 million Mac (units) 4.14 million iPad (units)…

  2. When Apple reached parity with Windows

    · · Research

    In 2013 there were 18.8 times more Windows PCs sold than Macs. This is a reduction in the Windows advantage from about 19.8x in 2012. This decline is mostly due to the more rapid decline in Windows PC shipments relative…

  3. Of bits and big bucks

    · · Research

    Exactly one year ago, on January 7th, 2013, Apple announced that the App Store reached 40 billion downloads ((Unique downloads excluding re-downloads and updated)). Here are additional data points from that release: This…

  4. When will smartphones saturate?

    · · Research

    GSMA Intelligence reports provide valuable statistics on the growth of mobile networks. One in particular shows the history of regional smartphone penetration. I took the historic data and plotted it as follows: Note…

  5. On the future of the Internet and everything

    · · Research

    According to ITU data, Internet usage reached about 2.2% penetration in the US (2.2 users per 100 residents) in 1993. The figure in 2012 was 81%. The history of penetration is shown in the following graphs. Similar…

  6. The China Mobile iPhone MOQ

    · · Research

    “BEIJING and CUPERTINO, California—December 22, 2013—Apple® and China Mobile today announced they have entered into a multi-year agreement to bring iPhone® to the world’s largest mobile network. As part of the agreement,…

  7. Moonshot

    · · Research

    When describing the process of disruptive innovation, Clay Christensen set about to also describe the process by which a technology is developed by visionaries in a commercially unsuccessful way. He called it cramming.…

  8. Bundling and Pricing Innovation

    · · Research

    This was initially posted on LinkedIn December 16, 2013. Innovation comes in many forms. Many times innovation is thought of as technological improvement or as invention. We can all cite examples of inventions which…