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Divinely inspired analysis
Three things stand out from Gartner’s latest smartphones forecast: The latter two claims are illustrated below: Notwithstanding the defensibility of these claims Gartner analysts makes some further assumptions (quoted…
Category
Research
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Expert system
Since starting this blog, I’ve receives several requests for career advice. I am most heartened and humbled by these requests, especially when they come from young people just starting out. I’ve responded as best I can…
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When will smartphones become phones?
The US smartphone penetration continues to accelerate. ComScore has been reporting the estimated absolute number of smartphone users and the last month saw a significant increase of 1.58% in penetration. About 30% of the…
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The pitfall in platform predictions
It’s a great misfortune that we don’t have data about the future. It makes it hard to tell what’s going to happen. It’s even harder because although sometimes we have data about the past, the past and the future don’t…
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Google vs. Android Part V
When I began the series of posts on Google vs. Android I put forward some questions about the business logic of Google becoming an operating system supplier, especially as that role can be seen as being…
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Disruptive failure: How Acer Took Aim at Dell and HP and missed
Two years ago: With new netbooks, laptops, desktops, and, yes, a smartphone, Acer CEO Gianfranco Lanci explains why he expects to soon overtake No. 2 PC maker Dell via Acer Boss Lanci Takes Aim at Dell and HP –…
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The controversy of playing it safe: What's IDC's Smartphone Market Message?
IDC released a new forecast for the worldwide smartphone market which included a long range forecast–all the way to 2015. Most people fixated on the share data in 2015. Not hard to do since whoever wrote the press…
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The Post PC era as explained by developer events
The World-Wide Developer Conference is an event for developers. It is not a trade show and it is not a consumer show or an enterprise show for salespeople. Except for the keynote, all events are subject to Non-disclosure…
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Predicting iPhone sales for dummies
Apple’s second fiscal quarter has just ended. Time for analysts to put forward their predictions for the quarter’s report (due in about 3 weeks.) If history is a guide, the estimates will range quite widely and accuracy…
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Understanding RIM's tablet platform app strategy
Yesterday RIM reported their quarterly earnings. The results were mixed to slightly negative and the shares were down 10% in after-hours trading. I’ll work through the smartphone market data at a later time but for now…